“Forward ever, backward never: onwards with Breaking Through”

 Freezing of DA to employees and DR to Pensioners, Govt. will enforce further economy measures to off-set any increase: Finance Commission.

FINANCE COMMISSION IN COVID TIMES
REPORT FOR 2021-26

Chapter 4
Pandemic Times: Analysis for the Future 2021-26

Pensions and Salaries

4.40 The Government of India has, as of now, frozen the dearness allowance to its employees and dearness relief to its pensioners due from January 2020 to July 2021, clarifying that this will be restored only prospectively. Based on this decision, we do not expect any growth in the salary requirements for 2020-21 over 2019-20. In view of the strain on revenues, for 2021-22 also we expect that the Union Government will enforce suitable economy measures in its committed expenditures to off-set any increase on account of dearness and other allowances. Accordingly, we have factored in a growth rate of 1 per cent in salaries and 1.5 per cent in pensions in these two years (2020-21 and 2021-22). Thereafter, we have employed an annual growth of 5 per cent in salaries and 5.5 per cent in pensions, keeping in mind the need for annual increment of employees, dearness allowance/relief of employees and pensioners and the normatively assessed change due to attrition in the workforce. We also expect that the expenditure on government workforce will be prudently rationalised, with emphasis on functional efficiency, to stay within the means. Our projections are presented at Annex 4.1. 

अध्‍याय 4
महामारी का दौर: भावी विश्‍लेषण (2021-26)

पेंशन एवं वेतन

4.40 भारत सरकार ने अभी अपने कर्मियों के लिए महंगाई भत्ता और पेंशनभोगियों के लिए महंगाई राहत पर जनवरी, 2020 से जुलाई, 2021 तक रोक लगा रखी है और संघ सरकार ने यह स्पष्ट किया है कि रोक हटने के बाद इन भुगतानों की बहाली उत्तरव्यापी प्रभाव से की जाएगी। इस निर्णय के आधार पर, हम 2019-20 की तुलना में 2020-21 के वेतन में कोई वृद्धि की उम्मीद नहीं करते हैं । राजस्वों पर दबाव को ध्यान में रखते हुए, हम यह उम्मीद करते हैं कि 2021-22 के लिए संघ सरकार अपने प्रतिबद्ध व्ययों में उपयुक्त मितव्ययिता उपाय (economy measures) लागू करेगी, ताकि महंगाई एवं अन्य भत्तों के कारण बढ़ोतरी को प्रतिसंतुलित किया जा सके | तदनुसार, हमने इन दो वर्षों, अर्थात 2020-21 और 2021-22 में वेतन में 1 प्रतिशत तथा पेंशन में 1.5 प्रतिशत की वृद्धि दर का आकलन किया है। उसके बाद की अवधि के लिए हमने कर्मियों की वार्षिक वेतन-वृद्धि, कर्मियों एवं पेंशनभोगियों के लिए महंगाई भत्ता/राहत तथा कार्यबल में क्षयण (attrition) के कारण मानकीय तौर पर आकलित बदलावों को ध्यान में रखते हुए, वेतन में 5 प्रतिशत और पेंशन में 5.5 प्रतिशत की वार्षिक वृद्धि आकलित की है। हम यह भी उम्मीद करते हैं कि कार्यदक्षता पर विशेष बल देते हुए सरकारी कार्यबल पर खर्च किए जा रहे व्यय को विवेकशील तरीके से युक्तियुक्त (rationalised) बनाया जाएगा, ताकि व्यय उपलब्ध संसाधनों के भीतर ही हो। हमारे पूर्वानुमान अनुलग्नक 4.1 में प्रस्तुत किए गए हैं ।Annex 4.1
(para 4.14, 4.40, 4.51,4.55)

Assessment of Union Government Finances for the Award Period of the FC-XV

(Rs. crore)

  2020-21 (BE) 2020-21
(Reassessed)		 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26
Gross Revenue Receipts 2808037 2135156 2429405 2684206 2999062 3381073 3841641
Gross Tax Revenue 2423020 1876118 2135398 2362270 2643322 2986200 3401357
Corporation Tax 681000 490050 559515 623300 701836 798338 917690
Income Tax 638000 443444 509295 567354 641820 737130 855808
Customs Duties 138000 101893 117024 129253 144182 163214 185737
Union Excise Duties 267000 295639 323577 345095 370459 398984 431103
Service tax 1020 – – – – – –
Goods and Services Tax 690500 541310 621694 692567 779831 882768 1004590
Other Taxes 7500 3782 4293 4701 5194 5766 6429
Non-Tax Revenues 385017 259038 294007 321936 355740 394873 440284
Interest Receipts 11042 11042 11042 11042 11042 11042 11042
Dividends and Profits 65747 33411 37921 41523 45883 50931 56788
Dividend/Surplus from RBI 89649 89649 101751 111417 123116 136659 152375
Petroleum 14075 11131 12633 13833 15286 16967 18919
Telecommunication 133027 69846 70000 70000 65000 60000 60000
Other Non Tax Revenues 71477 43959 60660 74121 95413 119274 141160
Divisible pool 1913731 1399846 1606318 1786897 2010695 2284310 2616072
Tax Share to States 784181 573937 658591 732628 824385 936567 1072589
NCCD Transfer to NCCF/NDRF 2930 2930 2930 2930 2930 2930 2930
Net Revenues to the Centre 2020926 1558288 1767884 1948650 2171747 2441576 2766120
Revenue Expenditure 2630145 2690145 2838995 3011135 3191617 3406586 3679145
General services 1270606 1216748 1313527 1424012 1538544 1656171 1776717
Interest Payments 708203 678635 760156 838425 917018 995750 1074093
Defence revenue expenditure 209319 209319 220832 235722 252659 271501 292543
Pensions 210682 186392 189188 199593 210571 222152 234371
Police 93597 93597 94346 99252 105008 111099 117542
Fiscal Services 18780 18780 18857 19688 20556 21463 22409
External Affairs 8876 8876 8912 9411 10104 10848 11647
Other general services 21149 21149 21236 21921 22628 23358 24112
Social Services 125274 156214 165751 182608 203825 227805 254941
Health 30940 61880 71169 82599 95866 111264 129135
Other Social Services 94334 94334 94582 100009 107959 116541 125806
Economic Services (excluding subsidy) 228315 287075 274904 282770 300749 319337 338437
Transport and Communication 37021 37021 37073 39245 42555 46145 50037
Science, Technology & Environment 30516 30516 30559 32349 35078 38037 41245
Export Promotion 2256 2256 2259 2391 2593 2811 3049
Power 13392 13392 13411 14197 15395 16693 18101
Other economic services 145130 203890 191602 194588 205128 215651 226005
Subsidy 262109 312109 314148 322093 332615 343307 355340
Food 115570 165570 187003 194484 202263 210353 218768
Others 146539 146539 127145 127609 130352 132954 136572
Grants-in-Aid to State Governments Recommended by Finance Commission 149925 196449 233279 227846 198012 190203 183722
Revenue deficit grants 30000 74340 118452 86201 51673 24483 13705
Disaster relief grants to States 20000 22184 22184 23294 24466 25688 26969
Grants to local government to States 99925 99925 80297 84703 87181 92087 92093
Sector-specific grant – – 12346 23729 24773 33062 36077
State-specific grant – – – 9919 9919 14883 14878
Provision for other transfers (expected) to States**, of which 511500 439134 444485 468941 503198 541173 625050
GST compensation to States 127440 93480 90189 100474 112623 127163 186199
Grants-in-Aid to Union Territories 47258 47258 54228 60324 67879 77116 88316
Other revenue expenditure 35158 35158 38673 42541 46795 51474 56622
Capital Expenditure 412085 352085 369269 357910 401577 450192 485619
Non-Debt Capital Receipts 224967 68620 138345 113478 108589 103657 98754
Revenue Deficit/Surplus(-) 609219 1131857 1071111 1062485 1019870 965011 913022
Fiscal Deficit/Surplus(-) 796337 1415322 1302035 1306918 1312858 1311545 1299887
Adjusted Outstanding Debt* 10676357 11400438 12673209 14026621 15406827 16777522 18105890
GDP 22489420 19119458 21700585 23762140 26257165 29145453 32497181

Note: (*) The adjusted outstanding liabilities presented in the table are equal to the outstanding liabilities, minus the State borrowing from NSSF, minus cash balances minus Central loans to State Government plus extra budgetary resources and finally adjusted for external debt at current exchange rate.

(**) Includes transfers made through functional heads also. The functional heads have been adjusted to this extent.

freezing-of-da-to-employees-and-dr-to-pensioners-govt-will-enforce-further-economy-measures

Source: Finance Commission Report

 

Subscribe to: Posts (Atom)